During the Lok Sabha Election 2024, voting was conducted in the second and third phases in all the 28 Lok Sabha seats in Karnataka. Karnataka Exit Poll Result came out with different agencies.
Also read:
Lok Sabha Election 2024 Exit Polls: Insights, Schedule, and Where to Watch
Karnataka Exit Poll Results 2024:
| Party Name | Seats |
|---|---|
| Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) | 23 to 26 |
| Indian National Congress (INC) | 3 to 7 |
| Janata Dal Secular (JD-S) | 0 |
| Communist Party of India Marxist (CPIM) | 0 |
| Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) | 0 |
| National People’s Party (NPP) | 0 |
| Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) |
What are Exit Polls?
Exit Polls are predetermined results from different agencies. It is a survey which is conducted immediately after the voter ends. Different agencies gather feedback from the voters by asking some basic questions and providing early insights into the likely results before the Election Commission releases the official count.
The official Lok Sabha Election Result will be announced on 4 June 2024.
Karnataka Exit Polls Result is announced by Agencies like India Today-Axis My India, Today; ‘s Chanakya, C voter, Times Now, Jan Ki Bat, Polstrat, Matrize, and PMARQ. etc. You can check data on their official websites.
In General Election 2024, Karnataka recorded high public engagement in the electoral process. It was approximately 70.64%, showcasing a slight increase from the previous elections in 2019.
Here are the high participation rates in Karnataka votes-
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Mandya: Highest turnout at 81.48%
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Chikkodi: 78.66%
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Shimoga: 78.33%
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Tumkur: 77.70%
The capital city of Bengaluru, however, saw relatively lower turnout rates:
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Bangalore South: 53.15%
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Bangalore Central: 52.81%
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Bangalore North: 54.42%
This data affected the Karnataka Exit Polls and the official announcement.
Suggested read:
West Bengal Lok Sabha Election 2024 Exit Polls: TMC को मिल रही कितनी सीटे? जाने सम्पूर्ण विश्लेषण
Delhi Lok Sabha Election 2024 Exit Polls: AAP Dominance Amid BJP and INC Challenge
Karnataka Lok Sabha Election 2024 Dates: City-wise List:-
| PHASES | CONSTITUENCIES |
|---|---|
| Phase 1 (April 26) | Udupi Chikmagalur, Hassan, Dakshina Kannada, Chitradurga, Tumkur, Mandya, Mysore, Chamarajanagar, Bangalore Rural, Bangalore North, Bangalore Central, Bangalore South, Chikkballapur, Kolar |
| Phase 2 (May 7) | Chikkodi, Belgaum, Bagalkot, Bijapur, Gulbarga, Raichur, Bidar, Koppal, Bellary, Haveri, Dharwad, Uttara Kannada, Davanagere, Shimoga |
Candidate of Karnataka With Their Parties
Karnataka elected for the 28 Lok Sabha seats. Here is the list of candidates for Karnataka Lok Sabha Election 2024:-
BJP Candidates:
P.C. Gaddigoudar, P.C. Mohan, Kumari Shobha Karandlaje, Dr. C N Manjunath, Tejasvi Surya, Jagadeesh Shettar, B. Sriramulu, Bhagwanth Khuba, Ramesh Jigajinagi, S Balaraj, Dr. K Sudhakar, Annasaheb Shankar Jolle, Govind Karjol, Capt. Brijesh Chowta, Smt. Gayathri Siddeshwara, Pralhad Joshi, Dr. Umesh G Jadhav, prajwal revanna, Basavaraj Bommai, Mallesh Babu Muniswamy, Dr. Basavaraj Kyavator, hd kumaraswamy, Yaduveer Krishnadatta Chamaraja, Raja Amreshwar Naik, B Y Raghavendra, V Somanna, Kota Srinivas Poojary, Visheshwar Hegde Kageri
INC Candidates:
Ms. Samyukta S Patil, Mansoor Ali Khan, Prof. M.V. Rajeev Gowda, DK Suresh, Ms. Sowmya Reddy, Mrunal Ravindra Hebbalkar, E Thukaram, Sagar Khandre, H.R. Algur (Raju), Sunil Bose, Raksha Ramaiah, Kum. Priyanka Jarakiholi, B.N. Chandrappa, Padmaraj.R, prabha mallikarjun, Vinod Asooti, Radhakrishna, M. Shreyas Patel, Anandaswamy Gaddadevara Math, KV Gowtham, K. Rajashekar Basavaraj Hitnal, Venkataramegowda (Star Chandru), M. Lakshman, G. Kumar Naik, Smt. Geetha Shivarajkumar, S.P. Muddahanumegowda, jayaprakash hegde, Dr. Anjali Nimbalkar
CPIM Candidate: M.P. Munivenkatappa
The Karnataka Exit Poll result is based on this data and sample collected from the voters outside the polling station. As per the major agencies, the finding says
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Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP): It is estimated that BJP retains a significant number of seats, continuing its strong presence in the state again.
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Indian National Congress (INC): It is expected that INC will make gains, potentially capitalizing on anti-incumbency sentiments and strong campaigning.
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Janata Dal Secular (JD-S): JD-A is also likely to play a crucial role in a hung assembly, leveraging its regional strength.
What are the Karnataka Exit Polls in 2019?
If we check the Karnataka Exit Polls in 2019, it was remarkably accurate. They predicted the overall outcome of the general elections which is very close to the official result. Most exit polls indicated a significant victory for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA).
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India Today-Axis My India: India Today-Axis My India is one of the most popular and accurate agencies. As per, the Exit Poll result in 2019, it was among the most accurate polls, correctly gauging the extent of the BJP’s dominance.
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Times Now-VMR: They also predicted that the most seats would go to the NDA. This was slightly conservative but still fits with the official general election result.
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Republic-C Voter: They predict for the maximum number of seats to go to the NDA. This was lower than the actual count, but it still indicated a clear victory for the NDA.
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News18-IPSOS: They estimated the maximum seats for the NDA. It aligns closely with the final tally.
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ABP News-Nielsen: They estimated the maximum seats for the NDA, underestimating the strength of the BJP’s performance.
Complete List of Candidates for Karnataka Lok Sabha Election 2024:-
| Candidate Name | Constituency | Party |
|---|---|---|
| Ms. Samyukta S Patil | Bagalkot | INC |
| P.C. Gaddigoudar | Bagalkot | BJP |
| Mansoor Ali Khan | Bangalore Central | INC |
| P.C. Mohan | Bangalore Central | BJP |
| Kumari Shobha Karandlaje | Bangalore North | BJP |
| Prof. M.V. Rajeev Gowda | Bangalore North | INC |
| Dr. C N Manjunath | Bangalore Rural | BJP |
| DK Suresh | Bangalore Rural | INC |
| Ms. Sowmya Reddy | Bangalore South | INC |
| Tejasvi Surya | Bangalore South | BJP |
| Mrunal Ravindra Hebbalkar | Belgaum | INC |
| Jagadeesh Shettar | Belgaum | BJP |
| B. Sriramulu | Bellary | BJP |
| E Thukaram | Bellary | INC |
| Bhagwanth Khuba | Bidar | BJP |
| Sagar Khandre | Bidar | INC |
| Ramesh Jigajinagi | Bijapur | BJP |
| H.R. Algur (Raju) | Bijapur | INC |
| S Balaraj | Chamarajanagar | BJP |
| Sunil Bose | Chamarajanagar | INC |
| M.P. Munivenkatappa | Chikballapur | CPIM |
| Raksha Ramaiah | Chikballapur | INC |
| Dr. K Sudhakar | Chikballapur | BJP |
| Kum. Priyanka Jarakiholi | Chikkodi | INC |
| Annasaheb Shankar Jolle | Chikkodi | BJP |
| Govind Karjol | Chitradurga | BJP |
| B.N. Chandrappa | Chitradurga | INC |
| Capt. Brijesh Chowta | Dakshina Kannada | BJP |
| Padmaraj.R | Dakshina Kannada | INC |
| prabha mallikarjun | Davanagere | INC |
| Smt. Gayathri Siddeshwara | Davanagere | BJP |
| Pralhad Joshi | Dharwad | BJP |
| Vinod Asooti | Dharwad | INC |
| Dr. Umesh G Jadhav | Gulbarga | BJP |
| Radhakrishna | Gulbarga | INC |
| prajwal revanna | Hassan | BJP |
| M. Shreyas Patel | Hassan | INC |
| Basavaraj Bommai | Haveri | BJP |
| Anandaswamy Gaddadevara Math | Haveri | INC |
| Mallesh Babu Muniswamy | Kolar | BJP |
| KV Gowtham | Kolar | INC |
| Dr. Basavaraj Kyavator | Koppal | BJP |
| K. Rajashekar Basavaraj Hitnal | Koppal | INC |
| hd kumaraswamy | Mandya | BJP |
| Venkataramegowda (Star Chandru) | Mandya | INC |
| Yaduveer Krishnadatta Chamaraja | Mysore | BJP |
| M. Lakshman | Mysore | INC |
| Raja Amreshwar Naik | Raichur | BJP |
| G. Kumar Naik | Raichur | INC |
| Smt. Geetha Shivarajkumar | Shimoga | INC |
| B Y Raghavendra | Shimoga | BJP |
| V Somanna | Tumkur | BJP |
| S.P. Muddahanumegowda | Tumkur | INC |
| jayaprakash hegde | Udupi Chikmagalur | INC |
| Kota Srinivas Poojary | Udupi Chikmagalur | BJP |
| Visheshwar Hegde Kageri | Uttara Kannada | BJP |
| Dr. Anjali Nimbalkar | Uttara Kannada | INC |
Which agencies are accurate for Karnataka Exit Polls?
After checking all the above data, it is most likely to follow the India Today-Axis My India. It is most known for its comprehensive and widely followed exit polls. It is a collaboration between the prominent Indian media channel, India Today, and the reputable polling agency, Axis My India. Every year, they conduct extensive exit polls and pre-poll surveys to predict the result before the official announcement. They are the most followed and trusted in the country.
Most of the time, their results are accurate and beneficial for the Election Commission.
Factors Influencing Accuracy of Karnataka Exit Poll Result
Several factors influence the accuracy of exit polls like
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Sample Size and Distribution: When larger and more representative samples are collected from the public, leads to accurate rates
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Question Design: Another factor is the Clear and unbiased questions. They are vital to collecting correct responses from voters and collecting results.
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Fieldwork Quality: If fieldwork gives reliable data. Fieldworkers should be properly trained and supervised to ensure improved validity of the collected data.
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Voter Behavior: Inconsistent voter behavior gives inaccurate data. Many voters tend to be indecisive and may not make genuine statements about an actual choice of candidate they make.
Conclusion:
As per the agencies and gathered data, Karanatak Exit Polls predicted a significant victory for the BJP-led NDA. Karnataka exit poll results for the year 2024 are very important in shaping the narrative of the Lok Sabha Elections in the state. However, Karnataka Exit Poll Result has already come out, but people are waiting for the election results. The exit poll results serve as a critical barometer of public sentiment and political preferences in Karnataka. But the actual announcement is the key to the formation of the Indian Government. Everyone is eagerly waiting for the 4th of June, which is the day of results to be announced.